Double dip concerns bode well for September gold price

13 September 2010 | 04:14 Code : 20176 Geoscience events
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August and the summer are now over and investors and savers are now focusing....

August and the summer are now over and investors and savers are now focusing on the autumnal months ahead. Stocks internationally had their worst August performance since 2001 and the ISEQ fell 7.2% in the month. Mounting concerns about the health of the economic recovery in Ireland, the US and internationally saw investors move into government bonds and gold. Some respite came due to the falling price of oil - oil was down 8.9%, its first monthly decline since May.The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the month 4.3% lower, while the S&P 500 was down 4.7%. The weak performance of equity markets was mirrored across the world’s major financial centres, with the Nikkei 225 down 7.5% and Germany’s Dax down 5.8%. Mining stocks on the FTSE helped it to only fall 0.6% in the month. With the S&P 500 index down 5.9% for the year and September being historically the worst month for stocks, traders are bracing for a continued downward bias.Gold was up 5.6% in August thereby regaining the 5% losses seen in July. Importantly, from a technical perspective gold recorded a record (nominal) monthly high close (see chart below) which should see momentum traders continue "to make the trend their friend". This could result in June’s record high being breached again, possibly as soon as in September. Especially as safe haven demand for bullion internationally remains robust and Indian festival seasonal demand looks set to be healthy......


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